Joe Biden Will Win on Tuesday. Here’s Why.

Eric Medlin
4 min readNov 2, 2020

2016 is not 2020.

In 2016, the political world was stunned by Hillary Clinton’s loss to Donald Trump. Even the Trump campaign could not believe that its candidate had won. Clinton had led in all of the nation’s polls. She had outspent Trump by more than two to one. She locked up numerous endorsements from both leading Democrats and Republicans. She was also able to run on a competent platform to help the nation’s problems. In short, Clinton did everything right and still lost.

The immediate results were dramatic, to say the least. Pollsters lost their jobs. Thousands of people did not show up for work or school. Hundreds of thousands of people poured into the streets over the next two months. An entire social movement, the #Resistance, was born overnight. Millions of people around the country feared that the Trump administration would directly or indirectly ruin their lives, and for many this prediction turned out to be true.

The truly shocking nature of 2016 made many liberals terrified to predict another Democratic victory. In the run-up to Tuesday’s election, Democrats simply do not want to assert that Joe Biden is winning the election. They cherrypick polls, including the Saturday Selzer poll that showed Trump up by seven in Iowa. They relate terrifying narratives about Proud Boys or rogue state legislators stealing…

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Eric Medlin

I’m a writer interested in the intersections of history, ideas, and politics. I publish every week. www.twitter.com/medlinwrites