Stop Trying to Predict the 2024 Elections

Long-term political predictions drive doomscrolling and clicks. They are not helpful.

Donald Trump with a map of the 2016 presidential election results. Source: CNN

Democrats are, as always, allergic to success. They have just won their first governing trifecta since 2008. That trifecta has led to a significant legislative victory and the possibility for more over the next 18 months. President Joe Biden has led the country through the nadir of the pandemic and is…